Mar 4, 2014
In the machine learning community, a decision tree is a branching set of rules used to classify a record, or predict a continuous value for a record. For example
Feb 25, 2014
In predictive modeling, feature selection, also called variable selection, is the process (usually automated) of sorting through variables to retain variables that are likely...
Feb 18, 2014
In predictive modeling, bagging is an ensemble method that uses bootstrap replicates of the original training data to fit predictive models.
Feb 11, 2014
In predictive modeling, boosting is an iterative ensemble method that starts out by applying a classification algorithm and generating classifications.
Feb 5, 2014
In predictive modeling, ensemble methods refer to the practice of taking multiple models and averaging their predictions.
Jan 28, 2014
The expected value of a random variable, in a simple sense, is nothing but the arithmetic mean.
Jan 21, 2014
Exact tests are hypothesis tests that are guaranteed to produce Type-I error at or below the nominal alpha level of the test when conducted on samples drawn from a null model.
Jan 14, 2014
In statistical models, error or residual is the deviation of the estimated quantity from its true value: the greater the deviation, the greater the error.
Jan 7, 2014
Endogenous variables in causal modeling are the variables with causal links (arrows) leading to them from other variables in the model.
Dec 31, 2013
In a study or experiment with two groups (usually control and treatment), the investigator typically has in mind the magnitude of the difference between the two groups that he or she wants to be able to detect in a hypothesis test.
Dec 24, 2013
In the interim monitoring
of clinical trials, multiple looks are taken at the accruing patient results - say, response to a medication.
Dec 17, 2013
In a test of significance (also called a hypothesis test), Type I error is the error of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true -- of saying an effect or event is statistically significant when it is not.
Dec 10, 2013
A time series x(t); t=1,... is considered to be stationary if its statistical properties do not depend on time t .
Dec 3, 2013
Data partitioning in data mining is the division of the whole data available into two or three non-overlapping sets: the training set (used to fit the model), the validation set (used to compared models), and the test set (used to predict performance on new data).
Nov 26, 2013
Data mining is concerned with finding latent patterns in large databases.
Nov 19, 2013
An observation´s z-score tells you the number of standard deviations
it lies away from the population mean (and in which direction).
Nov 12, 2013
In multivariate analysis, cluster analysis refers to methods used to divide up objects into similar groups, or, more precisely, groups whose members are all close to one another on various dimensions being measured.
Nov 5, 2013
In psychology, a construct is a phenomenon or a variable in a model that is not directly observable or measurable - intelligence is a classic example.
Oct 29, 2013
Collaborative filtering algorithms are used to predict whether a given individual might like, or purchase, an item.
Oct 22, 2013
Longitudinal data records multiple observations over time for a set of individuals or units. A typical..
Oct 15, 2013
Cross-sectional data refer to observations of many different individuals (subjects, objects) at a given time, each observation belonging to a different individual. A simple...
Oct 8, 2013
Tokenization is an initial step in natural language processing. It involves breaking down a text into a series of basic units, typically words. For example...
Oct 1, 2013
A natural language is what most people outside the field of computer science think of as just a language (Spanish, English, etc.). The term...
Sep 24, 2013
White Hat Bias is bias leading to distortion in, or selective presentation of, data that is considered by investigators or reviewers to be acceptable because it is in the service of righteous goals.
Sep 17, 2013
An edge is a link between two people or entities in a network that can be
Sep 10, 2013
Stratified sampling is a method of random sampling.
Sep 3, 2013
When probabilities are quoted without specification of the sample space, it could result in ambiguity when the sample space is not self-evident.
Aug 27, 2013
A discrete distribution is one in which the data can only take on certain values, for example integers. A continuous distribution is one in which data can take on any value within a specified range (which may be infinite).
Aug 20, 2013
The central limit theorem states that the sampling distribution of the mean approaches Normality as the sample size increases, regardless of the probability distribution of the population from which the sample is drawn.
Aug 13, 2013
Classification and regression trees (CART) are a set of techniques for classification and prediction.
Aug 6, 2013
CHAID stands for Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detector. It is a method for building classification trees and regression trees from a training sample comprising already-classified objects.
Jul 30, 2013
In a census survey , all units from the population of interest are analyzed. A related concept is the sample survey, in which only a subset of the population is taken.
Jul 23, 2013
Discriminant analysis is a method of distinguishing between classes of objects. The objects are typically represented as rows in a matrix.
Jul 16, 2013
Also called the training sample, training set, calibration sample. The context is predictive modeling (also called supervised data mining) - where you have data with multiple predictor variables and a single known outcome or target variable.
Jul 9, 2013
A general statistical term meaning a systematic (not random) deviation of an estimate from the true value.
Jul 2, 2013
One of several computer-based iterative procedures for selecting variables to use in a model. The process begins...
Jun 25, 2013
Outcomes to an experiment or repeated events are statistically significant if they differ from what chance variation might produce.
Jun 18, 2013
In multiple comparison
procedures, family-wise type I error is the probability that, even if all samples come from the same population, you will wrongly conclude
Jun 11, 2013
A cohort study is a longitudinal study
that identifies a group of subjects sharing some attributes (a "cohort") then
Jun 4, 2013
The coefficient of variation is the standard deviation
of a data set, divided by the mean
of the same data set.
May 28, 2013
In regression analysis
, the coefficient of determination is a measure of goodness-of-fit (i.e. how well or tightly the data fit the estimated model). The coefficient is
May 21, 2013
An estimator is a measure or metric intended to be calculated from a sample drawn from a larger population...
May 14, 2013
In regression analysis , collinearity of two variables means that strong correlation exists between them, making it difficult or impossible to estimate their individual regression coefficients reliably.
May 7, 2013
A cohort study is a longitudinal study that identifies a population or large group (a "cohort") then draws a sample from the population at various points in time and records data for the sample.
Apr 30, 2013
The centroid is a measure of center in multi-dimensional space.
Apr 23, 2013
Bootstrapping is sampling with replacement from observed data to estimate the variability in a statistic of interest. See also permutation tests
, a related form of resampling. A common application
Apr 16, 2013
A Binomial distribution is used to describe an experiment, event, or process for which the probability of success is the same for each trial and each trial has only two possible outcomes.
Apr 9, 2013
A combination of treatment comparisons (e.g. send a sales solicitation, or send nothing) and predictive modeling to determine which cases or subjects respond (e.g. purchase or not) to which treatments.
Apr 2, 2013
Network analytics is the science of describing and, especially, visualizing the connections among objects.
Mar 26, 2013
Multiplicity issues arise in a number of contexts, but they generally boil down to the same thing: repeated looks at a data set in different ways, until something "statistically significant" emerges.
Mar 19, 2013
Support vector machines are used in data mining (predictive modeling, to be specific) for classification of records, by learning from training data.
Mar 12, 2013
In data analysis or data mining, an attribute is a characteristic or feature that is measured for each observation (record) and can vary from one observation to another. It might
Mar 5, 2013
The negative binomial distribution is the probability distribution of the number of Bernoulli (yes/no) trials required to obtain r successes.
Feb 26, 2013
A random walk is a process of random steps, motions, or transitions. It might be in one dimension (movement along a line), in two dimensions (movements in a plane), or in three dimensions or more.
Feb 19, 2013
Cover time is the expected number of steps in a random walk required
Feb 12, 2013
is a general computer-intensive approach used in estimating the accuracy of statistical models.
Feb 5, 2013
(also called dissimilarity matrix) describes pairwise distinction between M objects.
Jan 29, 2013
in discrete time is the transformation of the series to a new time series where the values are the differences between consecutive values of the original series.
Jan 22, 2013
(outcome or variable) means "having only two possible values", e.g.
Jan 7, 2013
A probability density function is a curve used
Jan 1, 2013
In predictive modeling, data partitioning is the division of the data available for analysis into two or three non-overlapping
Dec 27, 2012
Promoting better understanding of statistics throughout the world.
Nov 12, 2012
New Editor of Journal of Statistics Education
Oct 28, 2012
Read Peter's Letter to the Editor in Saturday's Washington Post.
Jun 28, 2012
Last year's popular story out of the Predictive Analytics World conference series was Andrew Pole's presentation of Target's methodology for predicting which customers were pregnant.
May 24, 2012
Evidence show that there is no significant difference between taking an online introductory statistics course and a traditional in-person class.
May 18, 2012
Facebook began trading around 11:30 this morning, and I spent 8 minutes
May 14, 2012
Newly elected American Statistical Association (ASA) Fellow, and recognized for his outstanding professional contributions to and leadership in the field of statistical science.
Apr 23, 2012
Arizona's immigration law goes before the Supreme Court this week...
Mar 15, 2012
I saw this job posting a while ago, and, in my next life,
Feb 21, 2012
David Unwin, Emeritus Chair in Geography, Bubeck College, University of London (and instructor at Statistics.com!) will be awarded the Association of American Geographers (AAG) Ronald F. Abler Distinguished Service Honors at the upcoming annual meeting next week.
Feb 13, 2012
February 12 was the 80th anniversary of the birth of Julian Simon, an early pioneer in resampling methods.
Jan 17, 2012
Statistics for Future Presidents - Steve Pierson, Director of Science Policy at ASA wrote interesting blog wondering how statistics for future presidents (or policymakers more generally) would compare with the recommended statistical skills/concepts for others. Take a look and let him know!
Jan 6, 2012
Teaching Geographic Information Science and Technology in Higher Education, 2012 (Wiley)
Nov 29, 2011
The story of the prospective Facebook IPO, and prior IPO's from LinkedIn, Pandora, and Groupon all involve "data scientists". Read an interview with Monica Rogati - Senior Data Scientist at LinkedIn to see the connection.
Oct 25, 2011
Dr. Michelle Everson is recognized for her outstanding contributions to and innovation in the teaching of elementary statistics.
Sep 30, 2011
John Elder's presentations on common data mining mistakes are a must-see if you have any experience or plans in the data mining arena.
Sep 13, 2011
"Any claim coming from an observational study is most likely to be wrong."Â Thus begins "Deming, data and observational studies," just published in "Significance Magazine" (Sept. 2011).
Aug 31, 2011
I was watching a Washington Nationals game on TV a couple of days ago, and the concept of "expected value" ...
Jul 15, 2011
A neurosurgeon, pathologist and epidemiologist are each told to examine a can of sardines on a table in a closed room, and present a report.
Jun 14, 2011
What do teenagers want?Â More importantly for the music industry, what music will they buy?
Apr 5, 2011
Advertisers shy away from round numbers, believing that $99 appears significantly cheaper than $100...
Mar 22, 2011
Did the NCAA get the March Madness rankings right?Â Check out SportsMeasures.com
Jan 24, 2011
What does Matt Asher's article "Attack of the Hair Trigger Bees" have to do with global warming?Â Matt Asher runs statisticsblog.com ...
Jan 13, 2011
The first Gallup Poll was published in October, 1935.Â In America Speaks,
Jan 5, 2011
Thinking about careers that use statistics?Â The job title "catastrophe modeling assistant" caught my eye recently in a job announcement. ...
Dec 27, 2010
One of my gifts this holiday season was "A Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives,"